Canada's Housing Market Both Vigorous And Stable

For most of Canada, the housing market exhibited moderate price increases and stable unit sales during the third quarter. Wide regional variances continued to be the dominant characteristic in the market, exemplified by frenzied levels of activity and double digit price gains observed in the energy and commodity rich Western provinces, and more reasonable sales volumes and moderate price appreciation in Ontario, Quebec and Atlantic Canada, according to a report released today by Royal LePage Real Estate Services.

Nationally, market trends established through the first three quarters are forecast to continue for the remainder of the year. Robust economic conditions, low unemployment rates, modestly growing salaries and wages, and sound consumer confidence contributed to the overall strength of the residential real estate sector.

Of the housing types surveyed, the highest average price appreciation occurred in detached bungalows, which rose to $300,365 (+16.3%) year-over-year, followed by standard condominiums, which rose to $211,562 (+14.2%), and standard two-storey properties, which increased to $365,380 (+13.2%).

"Canada's sturdy housing market continued to demonstrate steady growth during the third quarter. For all but the west, we have moved on from the frenzied expansion that characterized the first half of this decade, and are poised to show continued growth at a more moderate pace," said Phil Soper, president and chief executive officer, Royal LePage Real Estate Services. "Gone is the sellers' market that we have lived with for some years. We welcome the more reliable conditions that are characteristic of a healthy balanced market." Despite the double-digit rise in average national house prices, considerable regional variances were exhibited again this quarter. The shift to balanced market conditions, which began in late 2005, has continued throughout most of the Central and Eastern regions of the country. In the core energy producing western provinces, the combination of very high in-migration, manageable affordability, and a shortage of inventory has driven record breaking price appreciations.

Echoing the second quarter and supported by Alberta's rapidly expanding economy, Calgary and Edmonton led the charge of Canadian cities with the largest house price appreciation in all housing types surveyed.

In Ottawa and Toronto, growth remained steady, supported by solid economic fundamentals, an increase in available inventory and strong consumer confidence. While the pace of price appreciation in Ontario leveled off slightly, the province's real estate market remains poised for modest growth. In Atlantic Canada, new housing and condominium construction offered buyers greater selection at more competitive prices, resulting in a slower rate of price appreciation when compared with 2005.

While the pace of growth in Canada has slowed, the domestic housing market is expected to outperform the American market. The economic and financial fundamentals driving the residential real estate sector in Canada are markedly different than those found in the United States.

Added Soper: "Canada's housing market is likely to outperform the American market through 2007. A number of factors are working in Canada's favour, including healthy personal and governmental debt levels, the relatively modest rise in interest rates in our country, and general affordability in our major cities. In addition, Americans are now seeing the downside of a tax system that encourages maximum homeowner leverage, and aggressive financial products such as zero- and negative-amortization mortgages that work only in a high price growth environment."

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